Bayesian networks, causal analysis, structural equation models
[Here we propose a new framework, based on non-Gaussianity, for estimation/learning of continuous-valued Bayesian networks or structural equation models, with application in causal analysis. The framework has linear and non-linear variants.]
Linear models
S. Shimizu, P.O. Hoyer, A. Hyvärinen, and A. Kerminen.
A Linear Non-Gaussian Acyclic Model for Causal Discovery.
J. of Machine Learning Research 7:2003-2030, 2006. pdf
matlab/octave
code [Proposes a new framework, "LiNGAM", for structural equation
modelling, continuous-valued Bayesian networks, and causal inference
based on non-gaussianity. Based on UAI2005 paper.]
A. Hyvärinen.
Pairwise Measures of Causal Direction in Linear Non-Gaussian Acyclic Models
JMLR Conference and Workshop Proceedings vol. 13 (ACML2010), pp. 1-16 2010. pdf
[Proposes new estimators for the LiNGAM model of the preceding paper. These estimators have simple intuitive interpretations and are statistically better at least in some circumstances.]
S. Shimizu, T. Inazumi, Y. Sogawa, A. Hyvärinen, Y. Kawahara, T. Washio, P. O. Hoyer and K. Bollen.
DirectLiNGAM: A direct method for learning a linear non-Gaussian structural equation model. J. of Machine Learning Research 12:1225-1248, 2011.
pdf matlab code
[A new algorithm for estimating the model proposed in the JMLR2005 paper. Based on our UAI 2009 paper.]
Y. Sogawa, S. Shimizu, A. Hyvärinen, T. Washio, T. Shimamura and S. Imoto.
Estimating Exogenous Variables in Data with More Variables than Observations.. Neural Networks, 24:875--880, 2011.
pdf
[Considers causal discovery using non-gaussianity in the case where the number of variables is very large.]
A. Hyvärinen, K. Zhang, S. Shimizu, and P.O. Hoyer.
Estimation of a Structural Vector Autoregression Model Using Non-Gaussianity
J. of Machine Learning Research, 11:1709-1731, 2010.
pdf Videolecture
[Shows how to combine classic autoregressive modelling with instantaneous Bayesian networks (LiNGAM). Based on ICML2008 and ECML2009 papers.]
P.O. Hoyer, A. Hyvärinen, R. Scheines, P. Spirtes, J. Ramsey, G. Lacerda, and S. Shimizu.
Causal discovery of linear acyclic models with arbitrary distributions.
Conf. on Uncertainty in Artificial Intelligence (UAI2008), Helsinki, Finland.
pdf
[Extends the LiNGAM approach to the case where some of the variables can be gaussian.]
S. Shimizu, P.O. Hoyer, and A. Hyvärinen
Estimation of linear non-Gaussian acyclic models for latent factors.
Neurocomputing, 72:2024-2027, 2009.
pdf
[Extends the LiNGAM framework to causal connections between latent factors.]
S. Shimizu, A. Hyvärinen
Discovery of linear non-gaussian acyclic models in the presence of latent classes.
Proc. Int. Conf. on Neural Information Processing (ICONIP2007), pp. 752--761, 2008.
pdf
[Extends the LiNGAM framework to the case of latent classes.]
S. Shimizu, A. Hyvärinen, P.O. Hoyer, and Y. Kano.
Finding a causal ordering via independent component analysis.
Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, 50(11):3278-3293, 2006.
pdf
[Shows how a causal ordering can be estimated for non-gaussian variables based on ICA. An earlier version of the LiNGAM framework.]
Non-linear models
K. Zhang and A. Hyvärinen.
Source separation and higher-order causal analysis of MEG and EEG
UAI2010.
pdf
[Develops a model of causal relations of variances of time signals.]
K. Zhang and A. Hyvärinen.
On the Identifiability of the Post-Nonlinear Causal Model.UAI 2009.
pdf
[Analyzes further the identifiability of the nonlinear model of the preceding paper. Related to the identifiability on post-nonlinear ICA, for which we obtain somewhat surprising results.]
K. Zhang and A. Hyvärinen.
Causality Discovery with Additive Disturbances: An Information-Theoretical Perspective. ECML 2009.
pdf
[Provides a general theoretical framework for the LiNGAM model, and applies it on nonlinear and time-dependent models.]
K. Zhang and A. Hyvärinen.
Distinguishing Causes from Effect using Nonlinear Acyclic Causal Models.
JMLR Workshop and Conference Proceedings. Causality: Objectives and Assessment (NIPS 2008), 6:157-164, 2010.
pdf
[Develops a strongly nonlinear version of the LiNGAM framework introduced above. See UAI2009 paper for more recent results.]
|